Commanders vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 4:39 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

At Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6, the Washington Commanders face the Cleveland Browns, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Commanders should be victorious, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to discover more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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Offensively, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by totaling 30.3 points per game. They rank 25th on defense (25.5 points allowed per game). With 16.5 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Browns rank 27th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 15th, allowing 21.8 points per contest.

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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3) Over (43.5) Commanders 37, Browns 10

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 61.5%.
  • Washington is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • Washington games have gone over the point total three out of four times this season.
  • The total for this game is 43.5, 1.4 points fewer than the average total in Commanders games thus far this season.

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Browns Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 42.6% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Browns have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Games featuring Cleveland have gone over the point total just once this season.
  • The over/under for this game is four points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (39.5).

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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 30.3 25.5 21 18 33.3 28
Browns 16.5 21.8 16 27 17 16.5

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