How to Pick the Lightning vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 26

Published 12:46 pm Friday, October 25, 2024

Searching for best bets for the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET? You’ve come to the right place. In the piece below, we provide our picks and predictions to help you make smart betting decisions for this matchup.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 7.4 goals)

  • This season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under of 6 goals five times.
  • So far this season, four games Washington has played finished with more than 6 goals.
  • The over/under for this game (6) is 2.3 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (4) and Capitals (4.33).
  • The 6.4 goals per game these two teams are conceding on average are 0.4 more than the over/under for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -163

  • The Lightning are 2-2 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Tampa Bay has never played a game this season shorter than -163 moneyline odds.
  • Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Lightning’s implied win probability is 62.0%.

Capitals Moneyline: +137

  • In five games as the underdog on the moneyline, Washington has pulled off the upset four times.
  • The Capitals won their only match with moneyline odds of +137 or longer.
  • Washington has a 42.2% implied probability to win this matchup.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Washington 3

Lightning Points Leaders

  • One of Tampa Bay’s top offensive players this season is Nikita Kucherov, who has recorded 12 points in seven games.
  • Having scored six goals and adding three assists, Brandon Hagel is a strong contributor for Tampa Bay through seven games.
  • On 13 shots (for one goal) and eight assists, Anthony Cirelli has contributed nine points this season.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy (3-3-0) has a 3.1 goals against average and a save percentage of .871 for Tampa Bay.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome is among the top options on offense for Washington, with nine points this season. He has put up three goals and six assists in six games.
  • Washington’s Connor McMichael has racked up eight total points (1.3 per game), with three goals and five assists.
  • Tom Wilson has scored five goals and contributed one assist for Washington, giving him a point total of six.
  • Logan Thompson has an .884 save percentage (43rd in the league), with 76 total saves, while conceding 10 goals (3.3 goals against average). He has put together a 3-0-0 record between the posts for Washington this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/21/2024 Maple Leafs L 5-2 Away +116
10/22/2024 Devils W 8-5 Away +130
10/24/2024 Wild L 4-2 Home -161
10/26/2024 Capitals Home -163
10/28/2024 Predators Home
10/30/2024 Avalanche Away
11/1/2024 Wild Away

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/19/2024 Devils W 6-5 Away +150
10/22/2024 Flyers W 4-1 Away +117
10/23/2024 Flyers W 6-3 Home -146
10/26/2024 Lightning Away +137
10/29/2024 Rangers Home
10/31/2024 Canadiens Home
11/2/2024 Blue Jackets Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

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