NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Wizards Picks for November 2

Published 12:41 am Saturday, November 2, 2024

The Miami Heat (2-2) visit the Washington Wizards (2-2) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Mexico City Arena, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 2, 2024. The Wizards are 9.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

For the best bets you can place on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Heat vs. Wizards Game Info

  • When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Mexico City Arena in Mexico City, Mexico
  • TV: NBA TV, MNMT, and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Wizards Best Bets

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Tyler Herro Over 20.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were at the 26th spot in the NBA scoring rankings (110.1 points per game), while the Wizards conceded the most points (123 per game) in the league.
  • Last season the 110.1 points per game the Heat put up were 12.9 fewer points than the Wizards conceded (123).

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Jordan Poole Over 22.5 PTS

  • The 17th-ranked scoring team in the NBA was Washington a season ago (113.7 points per game), while Miami was third-ranked defensively (108.4 points conceded per game).
  • Washington put together a 14-40 record in games when it scored more than 108.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 9.5)

  • Miami’s record against the spread last season was 41-41-0.
  • Washington’s record against the spread last season was 37-45-0.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 9.5-point favorites or greater was 3-6 last year.
  • The Wizards had an ATS record of 21-21 as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater last season.

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Pick OU:

Over (224.5)

  • In 28 games last season, the Heat and their opponents scored more than 224.5 total points.
  • The Wizards and their opponents combined to score more than 224.5 points in 58 of 82 games last season.
  • Miami’s outings last season had an average of 220.7 points, 3.8 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • Washington had a 236.5 average amount of points in its outings last year, 12 more than the over/under for this game.

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Moneyline Pick: Wizards (+340)

  • The Heat were favored on the moneyline 47 total times last season. They went 35-12 in those games.
  • Last season, the Wizards were the underdog 72 times and won 12, or 16.7%, of those games.
  • Miami had a record of 6-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -450 or shorter last year (75%).
  • Last season, Washington won four of its 37 games, or 10.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +340 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 81.8%.

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