Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025

The Washington Commanders will play the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Commanders will earn a victory — keep scrolling for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Commanders rank 19th in scoring defense this year (23.3 points allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 28.9 points per game. The Cowboys’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, allowing 360.6 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 18th with 324.3 total yards per contest.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Commanders by 7) Over (44) Commanders 29, Cowboys 21

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The Commanders have a 77.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Washington has compiled a 10-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • Washington games have hit the over 11 out of 16 times this season.
  • The average total for Commanders games this season (playoffs included) has been 46.1, 2.1 points higher than the total for this game.

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Cowboys Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cowboys have a 27.8% chance to win.
  • Dallas has put together a 6-10-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Cowboys have been an underdog by 7 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Dallas games have hit the over 11 out of 16 times this season.
  • The average total points scored in Cowboys games this year (44) is 1.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 28.9 23.3 30.4 21.2 26.9 25.9
Cowboys 20.7 27.8 17.8 32.3 23.6 23.4

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