Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
Our computer model projects a win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they face the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 4:25 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Buccaneers averaged 313 yards per game on offense last season (23rd in NFL), and they ranked 23rd on defense with 344.2 yards allowed per game. With 30.5 points allowed per game on defense, which ranked worst in the NFL last season, the Commanders were forced to lean on their 24th-ranked offense (19.4 points per contest) to keep them in games.
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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers (-3.5) | Over (42.5) | Buccaneers 32, Commanders 13 |
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Commanders Betting Info
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
- Washington compiled a 6-10-1 record against the spread last year.
- The Commanders were 3-6-1 ATS last year when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
- Washington games went over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
- Last season, Commanders games resulted in an average scoring total of 43, which is 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Buccaneers Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Buccaneers have an implied win probability of 65.5%.
- Tampa Bay went 11-6-0 ATS last season.
- The Buccaneers were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
- Tampa Bay games hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
- The over/under for this game is 42.5 points, 1.2 more than the average point total for Buccaneers games a year ago.
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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | 20.5 | 19.1 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 23 | 20.9 |
| Commanders | 19.4 | 30.5 | 16 | 34 | 22.3 | 27.3 |
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